Mathematical Modeling I Test #1
Mathematical Modeling 2001
Test #1.
1. Suppose that beginning on your birthday in the year 2000, you receive money at the
rate of $10 / day, which you immediately invest into an account paying annual 8% interest
starting from the day you receive it. After earning interest at rate r for t years, an
initial amount P of money will grow to value P e ^ ( r t ). Note that an 8% rate is 8 per
hundred, or .08.
- How much would the money you receive today be worth on your birthday in the year 2010?
- How much would the money received a year from today be worth on your birthday in the
year 2010?
- How much would the money received 5 years from today be worth on your birthday in the
year 2010?
- How much would the money received 9 years from today be worth on your birthday in the
year 2010?
- Does it look like the values you are calculating are changing linearly with the number
of years from today?
- How much do you think the money received in the first year since your birthday will be
worth on your birthday in 2010?
- How much do you think the money received between your birthdays in 2005-2006 will be
worth on your birthday in 2010?
- How much do you think all the money received in the ten years since your 2000 birthday
will be worth on your birthday in 2010?
2. Suppose you are driving at 60 mph down the highway and realize that you have to stop
and take 10 seconds to secure part of your baggage in the back seat. You brake to a stop,
changing velocity at a constant rate and requiring 10 seconds to reach a complete stop.
You take 10 seconds to secure the load, then accelerated uniformly back to 60 mph,
requiring another 20 seconds to do so. How much time did you just lose?
3. A tree has a number of bugs on it equal to the number of days until your next
birthday.It is in the middle of a long line of bugless trees. Every hour there is a 20%
transition of bugs from each tree to each of its neighbors.
- Graph the distribution of bugs for the first 5 transitions.
- How many bugs are on the original tree at the end of each of the first five hours?
- Write these numbers as a sequence S and determine if the ratios of the sequence S ' are
constant or nearly constant. If they are not constant, do they change in any predicatable
way?
- Graph the number of bugs on the original tree vs. the number of hours and see how well
an exponential function fits the graph, and also how well a quadratic function fits your
points.
- Starting with the numbers after the first hour, write the total number of bugs on the
original tree and its two immediate neighbors as a sequence S and repeat the preceding
series of tasks for this sequence.
4. Using Pascal's Triangle determine the probabilities of ending up 10, 8, 6, 4, 2 and
0 steps away from your original position on a random walk of 10 steps. Explain what the
whole analysis has to do with coin flips, and what Pascal's Triangle has to do with coin
flips.
5. Set up a transition matrix for a sane-demented model in which each transition sees
13% of the Sane become Demented and 19% of the Demented become Sane.
- Use the matrix to determine the numbers of sand and demented after each of the first
three transitions, starting with a number of sane equal to the number of days since your
last birthday, and a number of demented equal to the number of days until your next
birthday.
- Use algebra to determine the sane and demented populations that would result in no
change to either population.
- Write the numbers of sane as a sequence S, and show that the difference sequence S ' can
be modeled by an exponential function.
6. The plants in a certain garden are arranged in four concentric circles, i.e.,
circles with a common center. Plants are spaced at 1-foot intervals, and the radius of
each circle is 10 feet greater than the next one inside it. The first circle has a 10-foot
radius. In any given time interval, 20% of the bugs in one circle will move to the next
circle out from the center, and 20% to the next circle in toward the center. Note that
this refers to the total number of bugs in each circle, not on each plant. Each plant
initially has 50 bugs.
The bugs on the innermost circle have no circle inside them so they don't move inward.
20% of the bugs on the outer circle get lost.
- After the first transition, how many bugs will there be on each of the first four
circles, and how many bugs on each plant in each of those circles?
- Write the total number of bugs on all the trees after each transition as a sequence and
analyze as best you can the behavior of the sequence.
7. A container has total height 100 cm, and is in the shape of a cone. The diameter of
the cone is at every point 1/10 the height of that point above the apex of the cone, which
rests on a table. There is a hole .3 cm in diameter at a point 10 cm above the apex, and
water exits freely from the hole. The cone is initially full to the brim. If y represents
the depth of water above the hole, then the exit velocity of the water from the hole is v
= `sqrt( 2 * 980 * y), where y is in cm and v is in cm / sec.
- At a depth of 90 cm above the hole, the cone is full. How rapidly will water be
descending in the cone when it is at this depth?
- How rapidly will water be descending when the depth is 60 cm?
- How rapidly will water be descending when the depth is 30 cm?
- Set up a series of Excel calculations to approximate depth vs. clock time using 3-second
time increments. Obtain a graph of depth vs. clock time and see what sort of curve fits
your data.
8. A random walker starts from the origin of an x-y coordinate system and takes three
random steps in the x direction, then three random steps in the y direction. What
distances from the original point are possible, and what is the probability of each? Note:
don't forget about the Pythagorean Theorem.
9. A mass is suspended by a rubber-band system, and when it is x cm from its
equilibrium position its velocity changes a rate v ' = dv / dt = -40 cm / sec * `sqrt( | x
| ). The mass is initially at rest at a distance of 4 cm from equilibrium.
- Determine its rate of change of velocity, and its velocity .1 second after being
released.
- Determine as best you can the approximate change in its position during this .1 second.
- Determine your best approximation to the new position after this initial .1 second.
- Determine the rate of change of its velocity at this new position, and its velocity .1
second later.
- Determine as best you can the approximate change in its position during this .1 second.
- Determine your best approximation to the new position after this second .1-second
interval.
Repeat this process until the mass has reached its maximum displacement on the other
side of the equilibrium position.
10. Use the program Kinmodel in the simulations folder of the comm folder to obtain 20
randomly chosen x kinetic energies. Find the mean and standard deviation, and determine
the percents that lie within 1 standard deviation, and within 2 standard deviations, of
the mean. How well do your percents agree with the prediction of a normal-curve model?
tonight:
trap graph normal curve
cellular automata
adiabatic expansion?
derivatives of polynomial and exponential functions, antiderivative, moving both ways
prepare for weekend assignment
experiment: pendulum linearity using calibrated rubber bands
do some experiments with interfaces????
10-trial coin tosses
have brains grown to point where we can make some succinct statements about
distribution of mean, derivatives and antiderivatives, diff eqs and the functions that
come from them, fund thm etc. and have them understood? can we go into DERIVE and do some
of this stuff?
Mathematical Modeling 2001
Assignment 0702
1. The velocity of an automobile is given in meters / sec by the function v(t) = 3 t +
1, where t is clock time in seconds.
- Find the velocity at t = 4 and at t = 7, and use these velocities and the 3-second time
interval to find the average rate of velocity change between t = 4 and t = 7, as well as
the change in the position of the automobile.
- On a graph of velocity vs. clock time, locate the t = 4 and t = 7 points. From the t = 4
point sketch a projection line to the t = 4 point on the t axis and label this line with
its length, writing the length just to the right of the line and about halfway up. Do the
same for the t = 7 point of the graph. Then connect the t = 4 and t = 7 points.
- Find the slope of the line connecting the t = 4 and t = 7 points, and label that line
segment with the slope, placing the slope in a rectangular box just above the middle of
the line segment.
- The figure you have constructed is a trapezoid, bounded below by the t axis, having as
its vertical sides the projection lines you constructed, and the sloping line segment for
its top. Its area is equal to the product of its average altitude and its width. What is
its area? Label the area by writing it in the center of the trapezoid and placing a circle
around it.
- What is the meaning, in terms of velocities, rate of change of velocity, change in
position, of the slope and of the area of this graph?
- What is the position function for the given velocity function (hint: the velocity
function is the rate-of-change function for the position function)? By how much does this
function change between t = 4 and t = 7?
2. The velocity of an automobile is given in meters/sec by the function v(t) = .4 t^2 +
3 t + 1. Sketch a v vs. t graph and locate the t = 4, t = 7 and t = 10 points of the
graph.
- For the t = 4 and t = 7 points, construct a trapezoid like the one you constructed in
the preceding problem. Find slope and area, and label everything as you did in that
problem.
- Do the same for the t = 7 and t = 10 points.
- At what average rate did velocity change between the t = 4 and t = 7 points? At what
average rate did velocity change between the t = 7 and t = 10 points? At what specific
clock time do you estimate that the rate is actually equal to the average rate?
- By approximately how much did the position change during each of the two time intervals?
Do you think your estimates are overestimates or underestimates of the actual changes in
position?
- You could more closely estimate changes in position using t intervals from 4 to 4.1,
then to 4.2, then to 4.3, etc.. It wouldn't be practical to use an increment of .1 to find
the changes from t = 4 to t = 7 by hand, but it wouldn't be any problem to use Excel to do
this. How could set up Excel to find these results, and the total change from t = 4 to t =
7?
- The velocity function is the rate-of-change function for the position function. Can you
speculate on what the position function might be for the given velocity function?
- If you found a position function, how close are its changes to the changes predicted by
the trapezoidal graph?
3. The normal curve is given by the function N(z) = 2 / sqrt(2 `pi) * e^-(z^2 / 2). For
a graph of N(z) vs. z, find and plot the graph points corresponding to z = -2, -1, 0, 1,
2. Sketch the trapezoids corresponding to these points, and label heights, slopes and
areas according to the conventions of the preceding problems.
- What proportion of the total area lies between z = 0 and z = 1?
- What proportion of the total area lies between z = 1 and z = 2?
- How do these proportions compare with the proportions originally given for the normal
curve?
- Refine your graph between z = 0 and z = 1 by using the graph points corresponding to z =
0, .5 and 1. Construct the three trapezoids defined by these points, and find the total
area lying between z = 0 and z = 1.
4. There are 10 Christmas trees is a circle. Every two seconds, each tree looks at each
of its nearest neighbors to see whether their lights are on or off. If exactly one of its
neighbors has its lights on, it turns its light switch to the 'on' position. Otherwise it
turns its light switch to the 'off' position.
- If all the trees have their lights on at the beginning, what will happen during the next
20 seconds?
- If all the trees except the one in the middle have their lights on at the beginning,
what will happen during the next 20 seconds?
- If only the middle three trees have their lights on at the beginning, what will happen
during the next 20 seconds?
- Answer the same questions if the rule is that a tree will place its switch in the 'on'
position if at least one of the neighbors has its lights on.
- Answer the same questions if the rule is that a tree will place its switch in the 'on'
position if at most one of the neighbors has its lights on.
- Answer the same questions if the rule is that a tree will place its switch in the 'on'
position if at least one of the neighbors is in a different state than the tree itself
(i.e., at least one neighbor is off when the tree is on, or on when the tree is off).